Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.67% . A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.71% .
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.23%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result Orlando City Draw CF Montreal 59.67% ( 0.56) 21.62% ( -0.26) 18.71% ( -0.29)
Both teams to score 54% ( 0.35)
56.4% ( 0.73) 43.6% ( -0.72)
34.01% ( 0.71) 65.99% ( -0.7)
85.78% ( 0.42) 14.22% ( -0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.04% ( 0.8) 41.96% ( -0.8)
62.96% ( 0.11) 37.04% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.17% ( 0.1) 73.83% ( -0.1)
Orlando City 59.67%
CF Montreal 18.71%
Draw 21.61%
Orlando City Draw CF Montreal 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 59.67% 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.71%
How you voted: Orlando City vs Montreal
Orlando City
Draw
CF Montreal
5
rhs 2.0
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