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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Italy U21s
4 - 0
Slovenia U21s

Maggiore (10'), Raspadori (19'), Cutrone (25' pen., 50')
Marchizza (55'), Frabotta (90+3')
Marchizza (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Karic (20'), Brekalo (34'), Matko (51'), Gnezda Cerin (75')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-21s and Slovenia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 91.82%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Slovenia Under-21s had a probability of 2.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.23%) and 2-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Slovenia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-21sDrawSlovenia Under-21s
91.82%6.17%2.02%
Both teams to score 34.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.9%24.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.23%43.77%
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.1%2.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.81%13.19%
Slovenia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.83%64.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.36%92.64%
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-21s 91.81%
    Slovenia Under-21s 2.02%
    Draw 6.17%
Italy Under-21sDrawSlovenia Under-21s
3-0 @ 13.8%
4-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 11.69%
5-0 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 6.13%
4-1 @ 5.43%
2-1 @ 5.19%
6-0 @ 5.12%
5-1 @ 3.85%
7-0 @ 2.59%
6-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.2%
7-1 @ 1.15%
8-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 91.81%
1-1 @ 2.93%
0-0 @ 1.86%
2-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 6.17%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 2.02%

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