Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Shakhtar2 - 1Chornomorets
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets Odesa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-1 Inhulets
Sunday, September 4 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Sunday, September 4 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Inhulets | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 11 | Chornomorets Odesa | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Lviv | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
71.02% ( 0.35) | 17.99% ( -0.09) | 10.98% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
