Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Martin Torres
Ameliano2 - 1Danubio
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Rampla
Friday, May 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, May 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Danubio |
33.66% ( 0.13) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 38.65% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
