MX23RW : Friday, November 15 22:31:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
53.68% (-0.103 -0.1) 26.64% (0.067 0.07) 19.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (-0.17 -0.17)61.37% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (-0.127 -0.13)81.27% (0.131 0.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.119 -0.12)23.12% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.173 -0.17)56.98% (0.177 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)81.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.68%
    Danubio 19.68%
    Draw 26.62%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional129212982129
2PenarolPenarol129212231929
3Boston RiverBoston River128131710725
4DanubioDanubio12651134923
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12552129320
6Defensor SportingDefensor125431712519
7Miramar Misiones12453911-217
8Rampla JuniorsRampla124351114-315
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers123451215-313
10Cerro Largo12345610-413
11FenixFenix124171021-1113
12River PlateRiver Plate123361118-712
13LiverpoolLiverpool12255913-411
14CerroCerro12255816-811
15ProgresoProgreso12147515-107
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado12039517-123
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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