MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:12:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Nov 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Penarol

Nacional
2 - 2
Penarol

Ramirez (30'), Baez (63')
Baez (63'), Baez (64'), Rodriguez (73')
Fagundez (35'), Suarez (35'), Suarez (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Neris (48'), Hernandez (87')
Coelho (15'), Gonzalez (31'), Rodriguez (72')
Coelho (35')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-3 Nacional
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPenarol
32.35% (-0.61 -0.61) 28.04% (0.285 0.29) 39.62% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 47.22% (-0.972 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-1.15 -1.15)58.75% (1.151 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.901 -0.9)79.28% (0.90400000000001 0.9)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (-1.019 -1.02)33.55% (1.022 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-1.129 -1.13)70.19% (1.131 1.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.367 -0.37)28.93% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (-0.456 -0.46)64.81% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 32.34%
    Penarol 39.61%
    Draw 28.03%
NacionalDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 39.61%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
2-0
Nacional
Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
1-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')
Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Penarol
0-1
Nacional
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!