Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol2 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Penarol
Saturday, March 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
36.23% ( -0.16) | 29.02% ( 0.03) | 34.76% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.81% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
