Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6

Mar 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Boston River

Ramirez (36' pen.), Bocanegra (75'), Gigliotti (90+3')
Fagundez (45+2'), Lozano (59'), Cartagena (71'), Montiel (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Acuna (55')
Mancebo (1'), Olivera (38'), Beltran (43'), Silva Torrejon (61'), Fernandez (61'), Corbo (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Boston River

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Boston River 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Boston River
47.29% ( -0.1)	27.74% ( 0.02)	24.96% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.26% (

-0.04)

60.73% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.2% (

-0.03)

80.79% (

0.03)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.07)

25.79% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-0.09)

60.74% (

0.09)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.43% (

0.04)

40.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84% (

0.04)

77.16% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Nacional 47.28%

Boston River 24.96%

Draw 27.74%

Nacional	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.28%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 24.96%