MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 07:56:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro
2 - 2
Nacional

Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Fernandez (54'), Acosta (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Noguera (38'), Morales (69')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 3-2 Cerro
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Racing
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
18.16% (0.627 0.63) 25.04% (0.354 0.35) 56.8% (-0.98 -0.98)
Both teams to score 43% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.429 -0.43)57.8% (0.429 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.34 -0.34)78.53% (0.34 0.34)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (0.517 0.52)46.02% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.27% (0.4 0.4)81.73% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)20.35% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (-0.889 -0.89)52.75% (0.888 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 18.16%
    Nacional 56.78%
    Draw 25.04%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 4.49% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 14.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.3% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.78%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Vinicius (16'), Yacob (54')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50'), Cruz (61'), Bentaberry (66')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Cerro
0-2
Nacional

Tancredi (53'), Diaz (77'), Porras (77')
Bergessio (16'), Rivero (86')
Fernandez (90')
Aug 11, 2018 7pm
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Lopez (3')
Nunez (16'), Izquierdo (92'), Irrazabal (95')
Irrazabal (95')
Bergessio (75'), Viudez (77')
Castro (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1384127151228
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6LiverpoolLiverpool134632119218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
8Cerro Largo135351413118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado134271317-414
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones131571625-98
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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