Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Oct 6, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol2 - 1Progreso
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
| 49.49% | 25.98% | 24.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
