MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 00:12:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
3 - 2
Racing

Lemmo (8'), Joaquin Martin Colman (45'), Sequeira (78')
Andrada (26'), Cardozo (54'), Poiso (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nandin (5', 84')
Magallanes (15'), Monzon (76'), Labraga (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
39.87% (-0.447 -0.45) 26.01% (0.176 0.18) 34.11% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-0.71 -0.71)50.48% (0.708 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-0.631 -0.63)72.4% (0.62899999999999 0.63)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.55200000000001 -0.55)24.92% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.772 -0.77)59.55% (0.772 0.77)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.178 -0.18)28.21% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.226 -0.23)63.91% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 39.87%
    Racing de Montevideo 34.12%
    Draw 26.01%
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Progreso vs Racing

Progreso
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Racing de Montevideo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Progreso
4-3
Racing
Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Oct 9, 2019 8pm
Progreso
2-1
Racing
Rosso (22'), Sosa (31')
Asconeguy (28'), Andrada (68'), Sosa (75'), Perez (81'), Rosso (83'), Riquero (90')
Sosa (54')
Zazpe (3'), Barrios (45'), Mirabaje (83'), Brasesco (89')
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
3-0
Progreso
Perujo (48'), Barrios (77'), Estol (82')
Estol (93')

Moreira (49'), Viega (91')
Sep 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Racing
2-0
Progreso
Lacoste (16'), Mendez (89')
Muller (46'), Trindade (50'), Ortiz (78'), Rodriguez (82')

Montes (61'), Gottesman (80'), Lemmo (86')
Gottesman (87')
Mar 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
3-0
Racing
Lemmo (34'), Silva (38'), Colman (66')
Gottesman (45')

Araujo (23'), Estol (73')
Estol (75')
rhs 2.0
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