MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:08:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
68.27% (-0.142 -0.14) 18.34% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 13.38% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)38.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.28% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.42% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)33.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.187 0.19)40.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.166 0.17)77.52% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 68.27%
    Caernarfon Town 13.38%
    Draw 18.34%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 68.27%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 13.38%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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