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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 3
Barry

Lloyd (12'), Davies (32')
Mooney (33'), Gosset (44'), Maher (79')
Mooney (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bright (26'), Cotterill (56'), Hulbert (90+6')
Cotterill (44'), Blythe (63'), Sainty (69'), McLaggon (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-4 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
43.82% (0.107 0.11) 24.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 31.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.13 -0.13)44% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.126 -0.13)66.38% (0.123 0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)20.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.142 -0.14)26.53% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.185 -0.19)61.73% (0.185 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.82%
    Barry Town United 31.77%
    Draw 24.4%
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.77%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
0-3
Caernarfon

Press (76'), Cotterill (90+4'), Cotterill (90+4')
Clarke (27'), Richard Williams (41'), Davies (71')
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (45+1' pen.)
Hood (17'), Kavanagh (61')
Harrison (62')
Eardley (31'), Morris (43'), (45+2'), Owens (65')
Horan (45')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Barry
1-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
1-2
Barry
Bradley (55')
Beaumont (8'), Bailey (41'), John (47'), Cartwright (59'), Jones (90+1')
McLaggon (11'), Cotterill (37')
Abbruzzese (79')
May 22, 2021 5.30pm
Barry
1-3
Caernarfon
Edwards (44' og.)
Green (16'), Kavanagh (61')
Hayes (41', 50'), Bickerstaff (90+5')
Edwards (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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