![Newtown logo Newtown logo](https://sm.imgix.net/23/18/newlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown4 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Bala Town
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-3 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
46.5% (![]() | 23.68% (![]() | 29.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% (![]() | 64.01% (![]() |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% (![]() | 18.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% (![]() | 49.09% (![]() |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% (![]() | 26.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% (![]() | 61.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 46.5%
Caernarfon Town 29.81%
Draw 23.68%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 10.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.22% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.81% |
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Newtown
1-0
Caernarfon
Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-07 22:59:25
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
France
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Semi-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
England
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
![When will Arsenal complete Calafiori signing? When will Arsenal complete Calafiori signing?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
When will Arsenal complete Calafiori signing?
2
![Done deal: Bayern Munich complete £50m signing of Premier League star Done deal: Bayern Munich complete £50m signing of Premier League star](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Done deal: Bayern Munich complete £50m signing of Premier League star
3
![Transfer news and rumours: Gibbs-White update, Donley to Luton, Keane future Transfer news and rumours: Gibbs-White update, Donley to Luton, Keane future](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Transfer news and rumours: Gibbs-White update, Donley to Luton, Keane future
4
![Argentina vs. Canada - prediction, team news, lineups Argentina vs. Canada - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Argentina vs. Canada - prediction, team news, lineups
5
![Man United making moves: Highly-rated duo 'on verge' of joining the Red Devils Man United making moves: Highly-rated duo 'on verge' of joining the Red Devils](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Man United making moves: Highly-rated duo 'on verge' of joining the Red Devils
6
![Transfer battle: Three PL giants 'interested' in Ligue 1 wonderkid Transfer battle: Three PL giants 'interested' in Ligue 1 wonderkid](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Transfer battle: Three PL giants 'interested' in Ligue 1 wonderkid
7
![Spain vs. France - prediction, team news, lineups Spain vs. France - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Spain vs. France - prediction, team news, lineups
8
![Leicester City confirm signing of highly-rated Chelsea youngster Leicester City confirm signing of highly-rated Chelsea youngster](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Leicester City confirm signing of highly-rated Chelsea youngster
9
![Major coup: Brighton sign teenage attacker after Arsenal rejection Major coup: Brighton sign teenage attacker after Arsenal rejection](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Major coup: Brighton sign teenage attacker after Arsenal rejection
10
![Grealish replacement: Man City 'eye' move for Premier League attacker Grealish replacement: Man City 'eye' move for Premier League attacker](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Grealish replacement: Man City 'eye' move for Premier League attacker
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7