MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:06:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid
Newtown logo

Bala Town
2 - 1
Newtown

Malkin (74', 90+2')
Mendes (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (47')
Roberts (46')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
38.85% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 26.65% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 34.49% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)53.08% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (-0.032 -0.03)74.66% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)26.67% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)61.92% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)29.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 38.85%
    Newtown AFC 34.49%
    Draw 26.65%
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.49%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Newtown
1-0
Bala Town
Williams (52')
Hughes (82')
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-4
Newtown
Newell (36', 71')
Williams (16', 53'), Lloyd (43' og.), Ismail (82')
Apr 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bala Town
1-2
Newtown
Newell (83')
Rushton (49'), Ismail (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
3-2
Bala Town
Williams (62'), Roberts (88'), Robles (90+1')
Roscrow (10', 63')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
0-2
Bala Town
Kay (36'), Venables (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014


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