MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:03:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Newtown logo

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Newtown

Venables (71')
Kircough (63'), Harling (73'), Evans (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (49')
Evans (21'), Wycherley (33'), Cowans (66')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-4 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
36.63% (-0.995 -1) 24.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 38.44% (1.046 1.05)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.214 0.21)45.33% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (0.20500000000001 0.21)67.66% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.43899999999999 -0.44)24.31% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.623 -0.62)58.7% (0.622 0.62)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.648 0.65)23.35% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.932 0.93)57.32% (-0.931 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 36.63%
    Newtown AFC 38.44%
    Draw 24.92%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.135 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.44%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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