Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
