MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 13:12:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
50.98% (0.306 0.31) 22.65% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.36% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 61% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)39.2% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.111 0.11)15.56% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (0.208 0.21)44.5% (-0.21 -0.21)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.178 -0.18)27.75% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.231 -0.23)63.33% (0.229 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 50.98%
    Caernarfon Town 26.36%
    Draw 22.64%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 26.36%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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