Connah's Quay

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.