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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Haverfordwest


Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
45.79% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 23.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.01% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.56% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)38.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.95% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)17.25% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.112 -0.11)47.57% (0.108 0.11)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.057999999999993 0.06)24.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.082999999999998 0.08)58.79% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 45.79%
    Haverfordwest County 31.01%
    Draw 23.19%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.01%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')
Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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