Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 1Colwyn Bay
Williams (61'), Clarke (73')
Gosset (39')
Gosset (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCready (81')
McCready (33')
McCready (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
46.67% ( 0.34) | 22.04% ( 0.02) | 31.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 67.05% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
