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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Newtown
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
49.2% (-0.27 -0.27) 23.92% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 26.88% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.056000000000004 0.06)44.62% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.052999999999997 0.05)66.99% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)18.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.143 -0.14)49.27% (0.145 0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.21400000000001 0.21)30.21% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (0.254 0.25)66.37% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 49.2%
    Caernarfon Town 26.88%
    Draw 23.92%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.88%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')
Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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