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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Harling (30')
Morris (45'), Davies (52'), Harris (54'), Wood (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Woolridge (9'), Corsby (53')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
43.64%24.35%32.01%
Both teams to score 58.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32%43.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93%66.07%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84%20.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55%52.45%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68%61.32%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 43.64%
    Cardiff MU 32.01%
    Draw 24.35%
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff MU
0-1
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11'), Rees (13'), Baker (34'), Evans (75'), Corsby (81')
Yakubu (17'), (79')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Cardiff MU
Jefferies (2'), Levi Borge (47')
(64')

(38'), (71')
Nov 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Evans (29')
Lewis (9'), McCarthy (32'), Evans (84'), Evans (90')
Georgievsky (93')
Jefferies (42'), Patten (52')
Aug 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
1-3
Cardiff MU
Borelli (89' pen.)
Summerfield (76'), Hutson (90')
Evans (38'), Rees (75' pen.), Davies (83')
Woolridge (66'), Barker (82'), Thomas (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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