Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints3 - 0Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
56
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Bala Town
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
71.6% ( -0.22) | 15.72% ( 0.07) | 12.68% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.48% ( 0.04) | 27.52% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.86% ( 0.05) | 48.14% ( -0.05) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.21% ( -0.03) | 6.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.94% ( -0.08) | 25.06% ( 0.08) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% ( 0.25) | 34.24% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( 0.26) | 70.93% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints 71.6%
Pen-y-Bont 12.68%
Draw 15.72%
The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 71.6% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 12.68% |
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
New Saints
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 17:43:03
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 33 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 11 |
11 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 10 |
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