MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:04:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 2
Aberystwyth


Jones (58')
Evans (27')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Taylor (14'), Thorn (28' pen.)
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
64.6% (0.437 0.44) 20.34% (-0.099 -0.1) 15.06% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 50.48% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-0.236 -0.24)44.4% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-0.231 -0.23)66.77% (0.232 0.23)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (0.055000000000007 0.06)12.99% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.112 0.11)39.51% (-0.111 -0.11)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.605 -0.61)41.98% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.528 -0.53)78.42% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 64.59%
    Aberystwyth Town 15.06%
    Draw 20.34%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.06%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
3-1
Aberystwyth
Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
Flint (34' pen.)
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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