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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Hill (68'), Akpan (75')
Downey (34'), Hart (66'), Owens (84'), Smith (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reffell (45+2')
Richards (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Newtown
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawPen-y-Bont
27.16% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 50.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (0.013999999999996 0.01)38.48% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.23% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)26.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9%62.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (0.020999999999994 0.02)44.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 27.16%
    Pen-y-Bont 50.21%
    Draw 22.63%
Colwyn BayDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.16%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 50.21%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Colwyn Bay

Jones (85'), Reynolds (86'), Harling (88'), Owen (90+8'), Owen (90')
Downes (76')
Jones (32'), Edwards (56')
rhs 2.0
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