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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Celtic Women

Weir (7'), Bruun (72'), Moller (80'), Caicedo (83' pen.)
Lakrar (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ross (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Celtic Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Celtic Women 0-2 FC Twente Women
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Real Madrid Femenino 2-0 Celtic Women

Competing in their fourth consecutive European campaign, Real Madrid should have the experience and quality to see off Celtic on Thursday, and we ultimately believe that they will live up to the favourites' tag to claim maximum points and extend their unbeaten home run to six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Celtic Women had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Celtic Women win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawCeltic Women
46.3% (1.339 1.34) 24.53% (0.328 0.33) 29.17% (-1.669 -1.67)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-2.115 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-2.342 -2.34)45.83% (2.344 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-2.265 -2.27)68.15% (2.265 2.27)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.375 -0.38)19.89% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-0.614 -0.61)52.01% (0.615 0.62)
Celtic Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-2.297 -2.3)29.17% (2.298 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-2.921 -2.92)65.1% (2.923 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 46.3%
    Celtic Women 29.17%
    Draw 24.53%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawCeltic Women
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.802 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.565 0.57)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.26 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.558 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.258 0.26)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celtic Women

Real Madrid Femenino
75.0%
Draw
9.1%
Celtic Women
15.9%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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