Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
AOK Stadion
Wolfsburg2 - 2Arsenal Women
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
40
We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Arsenal Women
Arsenal will head to Germany without a number of their key players, and after losing four of their last five competitive away games, we think claiming a positive result may prove difficult. Although we think the Gunners will fall to a defeat in the first leg, we expect the deficit to be slender one, which would keep Arsenal in the tie ahead of the home leg on May 1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
49.53% ( -2.02) | 23.15% ( 0.52) | 27.31% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
