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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Wolfsburg have not lost any of their last six Champions League home matches, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory in Thursday's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
27.79% (0.324 0.32) 24.5% (0.309 0.31) 47.7% (-0.631 -0.63)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.137 -1.14)46.55% (1.141 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.076 -1.08)68.83% (1.08 1.08)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)30.53% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-0.418 -0.42)66.75% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.706 -0.71)19.59% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-1.166 -1.17)51.53% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 27.79%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 47.7%
    Draw 24.49%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 47.7%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs PSG

Wolfsburg Women
70.1%
Draw
11.7%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
18.2%
77
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG
0-1
Wolfsburg

Groenen (27'), De Almeida (37'), Karchaoui (62'), Fazer (85')
De Almeida (61')
Bloodworth (62' pen.)
Brand (75'), Lattwein (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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