Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 73.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.66%) and 0-3 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.