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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 19, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 4
Man Utd

Miedema (40'), Knaak (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Toone (14', 36', 46'), Galton (21')
George (51'), Clinton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 1-1 Manchester United Women

Man City are unable to call upon a number of key players, and we think that the absence of Shaw, Greenwood and Hemp could prove to be an important factor, which is why we think the hosts will have to be content with a point in Sunday's Manchester derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
58.9% (-0.209 -0.21) 22.78% (0.099 0.1) 18.32% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.246 -0.25)49.13% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.222 -0.22)71.2% (0.224 0.22)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)16.35% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.284 -0.28)45.95% (0.285 0.28)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 58.89%
    Manchester United Women 18.32%
    Draw 22.78%
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 58.89%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Man City vs Man Utd

Manchester City Women
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Manchester United Women
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Man City
3-1
Man Utd
Park (37', 45'), Shaw (46')
Casparij (73' og.)
Blundell (21'), Ferreira (90+2')
Nov 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd
1-3
Man City
Zelem (21' pen.)
Malard (68')
Roord (34'), Hemp (35'), Shaw (55')
Greenwood (21'), Aleixandri (48')
Aleixandri (72')
May 21, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 21
Man Utd
2-1
Man City
Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Zelem (90'), Garcia (90+2'), Boe Risa (90+5')
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')
Dec 11, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Man City
1-1
Man Utd
Coombs (58')
Galton (27')
Feb 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Man City
1-0
Man Utd
Weir (81')

Caldwell (54')
rhs 2.0
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