Man City2 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: Manchester City Women 2-0 Aston Villa Women
Man City have been in imperious form in the opening stages of the 2024-25 season, and we think that they will showcase their quality again to sweep past Aston Villa to collect three points which would see them enter the international break as league leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
66.17% ( -0.37) | 18.34% ( 0.16) | 15.5% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
