World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2021 at 12am UK
colombia
Colombia3 - 1Chile
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.9%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Chile |
| 49.8% | 31.76% | 18.45% |
| Both teams to score 29.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.62% | 90.38% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% | 31.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.64% | 56.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.32% | 88.68% |
| Score Analysis |
Colombia 49.8%
Chile 18.44%
Draw 31.75%
| Colombia | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 20.53% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 6.75% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.8% | 0-0 @ 17.9% 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 31.75% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.44% |
How you voted: Colombia vs Chile
Colombia
70.7%Draw
17.9%Chile
11.4%140
