World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Italy1 - 1Bulgaria
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Bulgaria.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 5.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 27.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.6%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.91%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 68.85% | 25.57% | 5.57% |
| Both teams to score 15.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 23.35% | 76.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 8.8% | 91.2% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% | 23.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.17% | 57.82% |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 2.19% | 97.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 68.84%
Bulgaria 5.57%
Draw 25.57%
| Italy | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 27.23% 2-0 @ 19.6% 3-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 4.42% 4-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.71% Total : 68.84% | 0-0 @ 18.91% 1-1 @ 6.14% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 4.27% Other @ 1.31% Total : 5.57% |
How you voted: Italy vs Bulgaria
Italy
92.0%Draw
5.1%Bulgaria
2.9%137
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
0-2
Italy
Sep 6, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Italy
1-0
Bulgaria
Sep 6, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
