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Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Bulgaria national football team

Italy
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Chiesa (16')
Barella (26'), Toloi (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Iliev (39')
Yomov (31'), Nedyalkov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Bulgaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 27.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.6%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.91%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawBulgaria
68.85%25.57%5.57%
Both teams to score 15.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
23.35%76.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
8.8%91.2%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.82%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
20.18%79.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.19%97.81%
Score Analysis
    Italy 68.84%
    Bulgaria 5.57%
    Draw 25.57%
ItalyDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 27.23%
2-0 @ 19.6%
3-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 4.42%
4-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 2.12%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 68.84%
0-0 @ 18.91%
1-1 @ 6.14%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 4.27%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 5.57%

How you voted: Italy vs Bulgaria

Italy
92.0%
Draw
5.1%
Bulgaria
2.9%
137
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
0-2
Italy

Kostadinov (57'), Vutov (58'), Bozhikov (59')
Belotti (43' pen.), Locatelli (83')
Locatelli (84'), Bernardeschi (89')
Sep 6, 2015 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Bulgaria
2-2
Italy
Popov (11'), Micanski (17')
Dyakov (56')
Minev (4' og.), Eder (84')
Immobile (82'), Soriano (88'), Darmian (91')
Sep 6, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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