World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi3 - 1Sao Tome
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Malawi
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Sao Tome
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Malawi 1-0 Sao Tome & Principe
Goals have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we expect a low-scoring affair in this one. Having said that, we can also see Malawi just about doing enough to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
77.57% ( 0.51) | 15.55% ( -0.29) | 6.88% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 37.03% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
