MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:24:05| >> :600:4799101:4799101:
Mali national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Central African Republic national football team

Mali
1 - 1
CAR

Doumbia (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kondogbia (79')
Pirioua (40'), Youfeigane (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Comoros 4-2 CAR
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Mali 2-1 Central African Republic

Mali's momentum heading into this one makes them favourites to come out on top, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are tipping them to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
MaliDrawCentral African Republic
77.33% (-0.218 -0.22) 16.29% (-0.16 -0.16) 6.38% (0.3679 0.37)
Both teams to score 32.47% (2.178 2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (1.911 1.91)50.99% (-1.921 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (1.652 1.65)72.86% (-1.662 -1.66)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.467 0.47)11.32% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64% (1.016 1.02)35.99% (-1.026 -1.03)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.61% (2.272 2.27)63.38% (-2.281 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.71% (0.9929 0.99)92.28% (-1.003 -1)
Score Analysis
    Mali 77.31%
    Central African Republic 6.38%
    Draw 16.29%
MaliDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 17.02% (-0.67 -0.67)
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.92 -0.92)
3-0 @ 12.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.322 0.32)
4-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.335 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.237 0.24)
5-0 @ 2.93% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.17 0.17)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 77.31%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-1 @ 7.13% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 1.77% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.29%
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.63% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 6.38%

How you voted: Mali vs CAR

Mali
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
Central African Republic
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2023
4pm
rhs 2.0
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