MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:36:33| >> :60:227:227:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium
Mali national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 3
Mali

Al-Dawsari (58')
Albulayhi (13'), Al Amri (79'), Al-Malki (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Doumbia (14'), Traore (42'), Sinayoko (71')
Samassekou (10'), Doumbia (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-2 Nigeria
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Uganda
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mali

Saudi Arabia ground out a respectable result against Nigeria last time out and will therefore be confident of repeating the trick or better on Tuesday. Mali have been in sensational form of late and will be primed to record another noticeable success against Saudi Arabia in Portimao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawMali
19.21% (0.906 0.91) 26.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 54.64% (-0.937 -0.94)
Both teams to score 41.81% (1.221 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (0.859 0.86)60.27% (-0.858 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (0.648 0.65)80.45% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.77% (1.593 1.59)46.22% (-1.592 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.1% (1.204 1.2)81.89% (-1.202 -1.2)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.24% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)55.68% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 19.21%
    Mali 54.63%
    Draw 26.14%
Saudi ArabiaDrawMali
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.252 0.25)
2-0 @ 3.06% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.21%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.28% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 15.45% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-2 @ 11.61% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.63%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Mali

Saudi Arabia
50.0%
Draw
5.6%
Mali
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2019 6pm
International Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
1-1
Mali
Al-Dawsari (53')
Al-Dawsari (40'), Abdulhamid (82')
Traore (38')
Traore (39'), Coulibaly (40'), Wague (94')
rhs 2.0
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