MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 04:38:30| >> :600:484292:484292:
New Zealand national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 6.30am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
Vanuatu national football team

New Zealand
8 - 1
Vanuatu

Garbett (11'), Wood (23', 24'), Bindon (31', 38'), Just (74'), Singh (82'), McCowatt (89')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Tasip (17')
Jeffrey (37')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 2.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (1.05%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New ZealandDrawVanuatu
90.28% (-0.155 -0.16) 7.3% (0.121 0.12) 2.42% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 34.07% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.98% (-0.52600000000001 -0.53)28.01% (0.524 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.24% (-0.657 -0.66)48.76% (0.655 0.66)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.29% (-0.105 -0.11)3.71% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.07% (-0.343 -0.34)15.92% (0.341 0.34)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.38% (-0.223 -0.22)64.62% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.16% (-0.096 -0.1)92.83% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 90.27%
    Vanuatu 2.42%
    Draw 7.3%
New ZealandDrawVanuatu
3-0 @ 14.28% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 13% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.181 0.18)
5-0 @ 7.75% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.68% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
6-0 @ 4.26% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.39% (-0.065 -0.07)
7-0 @ 2% (-0.057 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 90.27%
1-1 @ 3.45% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 7.3%
0-1 @ 1.05% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 2.42%

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