MX23RW : Friday, November 8 01:00:54| >> :120:27333:27333:
New Zealand national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 6.30am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
Vanuatu national football team

New Zealand
vs.
Vanuatu

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.44%. A draw has a probability of 7.2% and a win for Vanuatu has a probability of 2.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 3-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.81%) and 4-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.4%), while for a Vanuatu win it is 0-1 (1.02%).

Result
New ZealandDrawVanuatu
90.44% (0.66 0.66) 7.18% (-0.723 -0.72) 2.38% (0.066 0.07)
Both teams to score 34.32% (4.797 4.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.51% (5.335 5.34)27.49% (-5.333 -5.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.9% (6.418 6.42)48.1% (-6.416 -6.42)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.39% (0.94600000000001 0.95)3.6% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.42% (3.027 3.03)15.58% (-3.024 -3.02)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.6% (4.672 4.67)64.39% (-4.671 -4.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.26% (1.89 1.89)92.74% (-1.887 -1.89)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 90.43%
    Vanuatu 2.38%
    Draw 7.18%
New ZealandDrawVanuatu
3-0 @ 14.19% (-1.26 -1.26)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-2.19 -2.19)
4-0 @ 11.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-0 @ 7.84% (0.459 0.46)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-1.996 -2)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.529 0.53)
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.19% (0.772 0.77)
6-0 @ 4.34% (0.54 0.54)
5-1 @ 3.45% (0.719 0.72)
7-0 @ 2.06% (0.383 0.38)
6-1 @ 1.91% (0.504 0.5)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.317 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.324 0.32)
7-1 @ 0.91% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 90.43%
1-1 @ 3.4% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-0 @ 2.32% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-2 @ 1.24% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 7.18%
0-1 @ 1.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 2.38%

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