World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 3am UK
New Zealand3 - 0Tahiti
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Tahiti.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Tahiti 3-0 Cook Islands
Friday, September 1 at 7am in International Friendlies
Friday, September 1 at 7am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tahiti had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Tahiti win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Tahiti |
53.38% ( -0.08) | 25.46% ( 0.13) | 21.16% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
