World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Portugal2 - 0Uruguay
The Match
Match Report
Bruno Fernandes scores a second-half brace to guide Portugal to a 2-0 victory over Uruguay, while securing his country's passage to the World Cup last 16 in the process.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup clash between Portugal and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Uruguay could line up in Monday's World Cup contest with Portugal.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Ghana
Thursday, November 24 at 4pm in World Cup
Thursday, November 24 at 4pm in World Cup
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | South Korea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 1 | -1 | 0 |
World Cup
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, November 24 at 1pm in World Cup
Thursday, November 24 at 1pm in World Cup
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | South Korea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ghana | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Uruguay |
48.84% ( 0.15) | 26.39% ( -0.02) | 24.77% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( -0.04) | 56.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( -0.03) | 77.25% ( 0.03) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.05) | 23.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.11% ( 0.08) | 56.89% ( -0.08) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.14) | 38.19% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.05% ( -0.14) | 74.95% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 48.83%
Uruguay 24.77%
Draw 26.38%
| Portugal | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.77% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Uruguay
Portugal
70.5%Draw
15.0%Uruguay
14.5%1028
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2018 7pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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