World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 3am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
Samoa0 - 3Tahiti
Ibrom (64'), Vaai (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kaspard (59'), Mathon (65'), Tehau (87')
Tehau (63'), Papaura (85')
Tehau (63'), Papaura (85')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Samoa and Tahiti.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 3-0 Tahiti
Friday, October 11 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, October 11 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tahiti win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Samoa had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-3 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Samoa win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tahiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samoa | Draw | Tahiti |
15.6% ( 0.24) | 17.69% ( -0.11) | 66.71% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
