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World Cup
Samoa national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 3am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
Tahiti national football team

Samoa
vs.
Tahiti

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Samoa and Tahiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samoa

Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Tahiti

Last Game: New Zealand 3-0 Tahiti
Friday, October 11 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tahiti win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw has a probability of 17.8% and a win for Samoa has a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-3 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Samoa win it is 2-1 (4.28%).

Result
SamoaDrawTahiti
15.36% (-1.116 -1.12) 17.8% (-0.671 -0.67) 66.83% (1.778 1.78)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.34% (1.003 1)31.65% (-1.012 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.84% (1.17 1.17)53.16% (-1.179 -1.18)
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)33.55% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.73 -0.73)70.19% (0.721 0.72)
Tahiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.2% (0.66999999999999 0.67)8.79% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.83% (1.615 1.62)30.17% (-1.625 -1.63)
Score Analysis
    Samoa 15.36%
    Tahiti 66.83%
    Draw 17.8%
SamoaDrawTahiti
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-0 @ 3.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.36%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.95% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.8%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.72% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 7.07% (0.268 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.236 0.24)
0-4 @ 4.3% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 4.21% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.56% (0.085 0.09)
1-5 @ 2.28% (0.181 0.18)
0-5 @ 2.09% (0.2 0.2)
2-5 @ 1.25% (0.078 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.92% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 66.83%

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