MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:53:22| >> :600:2493259:2493259:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Bolivia national football team

Paraguay
1 - 0
Bolivia

Sanabria (69')
Bareiro (42'), Villalba (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roca (42'), Villarroel (42'), Vaca (45+2'), Haquin (59'), Villamil (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Paraguay
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Paraguay 2-1 Bolivia

 With both sides sitting in the bottom three positions after making slow starts to the qualifying campaign, this already feels like a must-win match if they are to have a genuine chance of reaching the World Cup in less than three years' time. As such, we expect to see a more entertaining encounter than may ordinarily be expected, with Paraguay hoping to let loose having failed to score in their opening three games. We are predicting a narrow home victory, meaning Bolivia's losing streak would continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.

Result
ParaguayDrawBolivia
70.98% (1.02 1.02) 19.41% (-0.659 -0.66) 9.61% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 37.35% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (1.521 1.52)53.13% (-1.518 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (1.277 1.28)74.7% (-1.273 -1.27)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.797 0.8)13.79% (-0.793 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (1.556 1.56)41.11% (-1.552 -1.55)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.32% (0.197 0.2)56.68% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.14% (0.11 0.11)88.86% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 70.98%
    Bolivia 9.61%
    Draw 19.41%
ParaguayDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 15.48% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 15.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.27 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.17 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 70.98%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-2 @ 2.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 9.61%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Bolivia

Paraguay
64.1%
Draw
35.9%
Bolivia
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
4-0
Paraguay
Ramallo (21'), Villarroel (53'), Abrego (84'), Fernandez (90+4')
Ramallo (45+2'), Carlos Arce (78')

Cardozo (43'), Gomez (82')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Paraguay
3-1
Bolivia
Arzamendia (8'), Espinola (45+11')
Bejarano (29'), Cuellar Mendoza (38'), Flores (40')
Cuellar Mendoza (45+9')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Bolivia
Romero (19' pen., 72')
Moreno (41'), Cespedes (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!