World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 1am UK
USA1 - 1Canada
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Canada had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 50.89% | 24.01% | 25.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% | 46.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% | 68.77% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% | 18.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% | 49.36% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.84% | 69.16% |
| Score Analysis |
USA 50.89%
Canada 25.09%
Draw 24.01%
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.89% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.09% |
How you voted: USA vs Canada
USA
71.2%Draw
16.7%Canada
12.1%66
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
