Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
67.47% ( 0.44) | 19.1% ( -0.15) | 13.43% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.02) | 42.41% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.02) | 64.82% ( -0.02) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.4% ( 0.12) | 11.6% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.41% ( 0.26) | 36.59% ( -0.27) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.9% ( -0.42) | 43.09% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.63% ( -0.36) | 79.37% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 67.45% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.1% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |