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Le Havre
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Lille
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Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Nantes

Enjoying a new lease of life under the expert tutelage of Gasset, Marseille will be confident of securing a third-straight Ligue 1 win on Sunday night. Nantes' survival aims took a hit against Metz last time out, and the Orange Velodrome is not an ideal location to bounce back with a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
67.47% (0.43599999999999 0.44) 19.1% (-0.149 -0.15) 13.43% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.122 0.12)11.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.264 0.26)36.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.423 -0.42)43.09% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63% (-0.357 -0.36)79.37% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 67.45%
    Nantes 13.43%
    Draw 19.1%
MarseilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Nantes
1.8%
56
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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