Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (4.94%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.17% ( -0.73) | 22.74% ( -0.19) | 39.09% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 66.39% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5% ( 0.99) | 34.5% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.57% ( 1.1) | 56.43% ( -1.1) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% ( 0.1) | 18.72% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% ( 0.16) | 50.09% ( -0.16) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( 0.84) | 18.31% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( 1.41) | 49.4% ( -1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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