Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.78% ( 0.42) | 22.82% ( 0) | 42.39% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 65.56% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.63% ( 0.1) | 35.37% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.6% ( 0.12) | 57.4% ( -0.11) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( 0.26) | 20.73% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( 0.41) | 53.35% ( -0.41) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.71% ( -0.13) | 17.29% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.36% ( -0.22) | 47.63% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.78% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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