Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.78% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() | 42.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.63% (![]() | 35.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.6% (![]() | 57.4% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% (![]() | 20.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% (![]() | 53.35% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.71% (![]() | 17.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.36% (![]() | 47.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.78% | 1-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 8.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |