Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
44.99% ( 0.27) | 23.44% ( -0.07) | 31.57% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.44% ( 0.25) | 39.56% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.09% ( 0.27) | 61.91% ( -0.27) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( 0.21) | 17.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( 0.36) | 48.74% ( -0.36) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( 0) | 24.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( 0) | 58.94% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |