Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 93.5%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (7.99%) and 3-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (0.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.