Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.