MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 10:36:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne Victory

Macarthur
1 - 1
Victory

Millar (12')
Aspropotamitis (7'), Davila (43'), Sterjovski (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicolaou (90+5' og.)
Da Silva (42'), Traore (53'), Arzani (66')
Traore (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
38.99% (-0.381 -0.38) 23.54% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 37.47% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 63.24% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (0.30099999999999 0.3)38.57% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13% (0.32 0.32)60.86% (-0.319 -0.32)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)20.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)52.37% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.348 0.35)20.83% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.545 0.55)53.51% (-0.546 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 38.99%
    Melbourne Victory 37.47%
    Draw 23.54%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.045 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 25
Victory
2-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 6am
Gameweek 7
Macarthur
0-1
Victory
Folami (84')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Macarthur
1-4
Victory
Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
Mar 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Victory
3-1
Macarthur
D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
May 14, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
3-1
Victory
Derbyshire (4', 89'), Meredith (39')
Derbyshire (65')
Kamsoba (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!